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Nasdaq 100: Market Predictions and Proposed Binary Options Explained

On March 2, 2026
nasdaq 100 — GB news

This market will conclude with a result of "Down" if the official closing price of the Nasdaq 100 Index for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on Monday, March 2, 2026, is less than the official closing price for NDX on the latest previous trading day. Nasdaq has also proposed to the SEC the introduction of binary options linked to its 100 index.

For instance, typically, a market on a Monday would look back to the previous Friday for its latest closing price, unless that Friday was a market holiday, in which case it would consider Thursday or the nearest trading day instead. The proposed contracts are called ‘Outcome Related Options’ and would trade between $0.01 and $1.

Market Outcome Predictions

If the two designated closing prices are precisely the same, this market will conclude with a 50-50 outcome. Keep in mind that all amounts will be rounded to the nearest cent using conventional rounding. Contracts pay a fixed amount if a specified condition is met and expire worthless otherwise.

If the Nasdaq 100 does not experience any trading activity throughout the regular session, the market will settle at a 50-50 outcome. The proposed contracts are called ‘Outcome Related Options’ and would trade between $0.01 and $1.

In the event that either of the pertinent days is abbreviated (for instance, because of a market holiday), the official closing price reported by the Nasdaq 100 Index for that abbreviated session will still be utilized for resolution. Recently, Nasdaq proposed to the SEC for binary options linked to its 100 index.

Proposed Binary Options

If either of the pertinent days lacks an official closing price—perhaps due to a trading halt at market close, a system malfunction, delisting, or other interruptions—the market will adopt the last valid on-exchange trade price from the regular session as the effective closing price. The proposed contracts are called ‘Outcome Related Options’ and would trade between $0.01 and $1.

The source for this market’s resolution is the Wall Street Journal, particularly the Close values listed under “Historical Prices.” Additionally, binary options enable traders to make yes-or-no bets on market direction.

United States:

Trading Day Considerations

Europe, the Middle East, and Africa:

ASIA: Created At: Feb 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET Volume $42,455 End Date Mar 2, 2026 Created At Feb 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET Resolution Source https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks Resolver 0x65070BE91… This market will determine “Up” if the official Nasdaq 100 Index closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on Monday, March 2, 2026, exceeds the official Nasdaq 100 Index closing price for NDX on the last trading day prior. Conversely, it will resolve to “Down” if the closing price on that date is lower than the most recent prior trading day’s closing price. Typically, a market on Monday would reference the previous Friday’s closing price, unless that Friday is a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday or the next available trading day. If the two specified closing prices are identical, the market will resolve 50-50. All amounts will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding practices. If NDX does not trade during the regular session, the market will also resolve 50-50. In cases where either relevant day is shortened (due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Nasdaq 100 Index for that shortened session will still apply for resolution. If either day lacks an official closing price (due to a trading halt, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will utilize the last valid on-exchange trade price from the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under “Historical Prices.” Additionally, the proposed contracts are called ‘Outcome Related Options’ and would trade between $0.01 and $1. US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

This market will conclude with a result of "Up" if the official closing price of the Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX) on Monday, March 2, 2026, exceeds the closing price of NDX from the most recent trading day prior. Conversely, it will resolve to "Down" if the closing price on that date is lower than the previous day’s closing price. For instance, typically, a market on Monday would reference the closing price from the preceding Friday, unless that Friday is a market holiday, in which case it would look to Thursday or the next available trading day. Should the two specified closing prices be identical, the market will resolve to a 50-50 outcome. All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding practices. If NDX does not trade during the regular session, the market will also resolve to 50-50. In cases where either relevant day is shortened due to a holiday schedule, the official closing price from Nasdaq 100 Index for that session will still apply for resolution. If there is no official closing price on either day due to a trading halt, system issues, delisting, or other disruptions, the market will utilize the last valid on-exchange trade price from the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia. The proposed contracts are called ‘Outcome Related Options’ and would trade between $0.01 and $1.

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